Pain of External Factors Discourages Business Owners Preparing to Cash Out / by Kerri
Are you uncertain about the future for you, your family, or your business? If so, your instincts and intuition are on target – you can’t afford to ignore the facts. There’s an unavoidable confluence of factors that require your immediate planning and action.
- Sellers’ Competition Increasing – 8.1M Baby-Boomer Business Owners think they will sell/scale or in some way cash out of their business by 2018. It takes 2-5 years to prepare the business so you can achieve the maximum returns. Another 8.1M Baby-Boomer Business Owners intend to sell in 5-10 years. Anyone in the first group who was slow to market will now compete with an added group of 8.1M peers – likely even more desperate to get out quickly and seeing how difficult it was for the first group of Baby-Boomer Business Owners to transition.
- Seller’s Window in the Market is Shrinking – 2013-2018 is a seller’s window (sellers have the advantage in a transaction, buyers have the liquidity, and this is the leading edge of a huge selloff/transition of ownership across industries). If you wait too long, you’ll miss this window. In 2018, the market itself flips and becomes a buyer’s market until 2022 (buyers will have the dominant advantage in a transaction, there will be even more sellers than buyers, and buyers will have more choice and can drive prices down).
- Inflation Will Wipe Out Any Leverage – Quantitative easing will not solve the US debt problem. The only option the government has is to allow inflation to rise – some say up to 50% – in order to wipe out the debt. Inflation, which is being held down artificially, will rise to heights we have not seen since the 1980s within the next five years. After that, inflation will wipe out any leverage or advantage that sellers have in a transaction.
- Longevity – In your retirement and investment planning, your business will likely be a dominant source of the cash to fund those plans. Do your reinvention plans assume you’ll live three years beyond your exit? Until age +/- 85 as some of the newer data suggest? Or do you want to be on the other end of the curve suggested in a recent TV commercial by Prudential and live to 100 or 110? The bigger question then becomes, have you indeed made adequate plans for your resources to provide for the lifestyle you want for another three or four decades? Or to leave a legacy that will last another 100 years?
There’s no denying these trends are happening. As much as business owners are taking a beating from all these factors, a wait and see approach is about as effective as hiding your head in the sand like an ostrich. Rather, look at these external factors as a warning bell to plan now so you get to cash out and move on to your transition on your terms and your timeline.
It’s never too early or too late to plan your exit. At Exit This Way, we can help you through this minefield with strategy, tactics, and much more, the sooner you call.